USD/CAD: A surprisingly hawkish BoC might provide further support to Loonie – Commerzbank

Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) growth slowed further in December. Loonie rose after the data. A hawkish Bank of Canada next week could provide furthe support.

CAD stronger following publication of inflation data

“Even though the overall rate eased a little more than expected to 6.3% (Bloomberg 6.4%), and the core rates (median and trim) eased slightly to 5.0% and 5.3% respectively (Bloomberg: 4.9% and 5.2% respectively), the previous month’s result was corrected to the upside. That means the impression of an overall rate slowly easing is confirmed, as is the image of a core rate still stubbornly moving sideways above 5%.”

“Just like the (small) majority of analysts polled by Bloomberg we expect the BoC to take a further step of 25 bps to then 4.5% at its meeting next week. This seems to have been increasingly priced in by the market.”

“The Loonie was able to benefit from yesterday’s inflation data. A surprisingly hawkish BoC might provide further support, in particular if the other central banks surprise on the dovish side.”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.