With a $65–$70 million debut, Dwayne Johnson’s “Black Adam” will rouse fall moviegoers.
Studios haven’t been very confident in disclosing advance box office forecasts because of the unpredictable market. Nobody desires to leave their skis. Black Adam, starring Dwayne Johnson and distributed by New Line, is forecast to open to between $65 million and $70 million, according industry sources.
The first major tentpole since Sony’s Bullet Train during the first weekend in August, Black Adam premieres on October 21. That movie just passed $100 million.
Like a one-eyed behemoth in the land of the blind, the image is currently tracking quite quickly. In other words, it is unique at this time. Men over and under 25, followed by women under 25, Latino and Hispanic moviegoers, and families, all strongly support the film. If the film grosses more than $68.1 million domestically, it will surpass Johnson’s previous greatest solo debut, The Mummy Returns from 2001, in which he appeared as The Scorpion King.
Originally set to release on July 29, Black Adam was postponed by Warners to the fourth weekend of October due to the epidemic backlog of VFX work in post-production facilities. As a result, Black Adam got the tubthumping treatment from Warner Bros. and Johnson at San Diego Comic-Con.
Universal’s romantic comedy Ticket to Paradise, starring George Clooney and Julia Roberts, also debuts on October 21 and is specifically targeted towards older women. The film has already made over $46.4M overseas.
The R-rated Joker, from Warner Bros./DC, has the biggest October domestic box office debut ever with a $96.2M opening in 2019.
Filmgoing encourages more filmgoing. Adult-targeted titles are typical for the autumn, but there is currently no major tentpole in the marquees around which all this counterprogramming might revolve and become a tide that lifts all boats.
The popularity of Venom: Let There Be Carnage, Dune, Halloween Kills, and No Time to Die helped make last October a huge month for movies, with all of them grossing $623.2M.