Black Panther

How Much of a Box Office Success Does Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Require?

BlackPanther:WakandaForeverisexpectedtobeanotherboxofficesuccessforMarvel,andhereishowmuchitneedstomake.

BlackPanther:WakandaForeverisexpectedtobeanotherboxofficesuccessforMarvelStudios,andhere’showmuchitneedstomaketobeasuccess.
TheoriginalBlackPanthersurpassedallfinancialexpectations,grossing$1.3billionworldwide.
ItistheMarvelCinematicUniverse’shighest-grossingsolofilm,andalleyesareonBlackPanther2toseeifRyanCoogler’ssequelcansurpassit.
TheboxofficepotentialofPhase4hastakenasmallhitinapost-COVIDlandscape,butSpider-Man:NoWayHome’srecord-breakingperformanceshowsthatMarvelstillhasalotofroomtogrow.

WhenitcomestohowmuchBlackPanther:WakandaForeverneedstoearninordertobeaboxofficesuccess,theruleofthumbisthatafilmmustearnbetweentwoandthreetimesitsbudgetinorderforthestudiotobeprofitable.
ThebudgetforBlackPanther2hasnotbeenofficiallydisclosedbyDisneyorMarvel,butitissafetoassumethatitwillcostatleast$200milliontoproduce.
ThatmeansBlackPanther:WakandaForever’sboxofficeneedstobeinthe$400-600millionrangetobeasuccess.
Evenifthesequel’sbudgetiscloserto$250million,thethresholdforthesequeltocrossisonly$500-$750million.

Black Panther: Wakanda Will Almost Certainly Be A Box Office Success.

The film Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is expected to be a box office success. Tracking for the film’s domestic opening weekend predicts that it will earn at least $175 million in its first three days. The Black Panther 2 box office opening weekend could even outperform the original’s $202 million opening weekend, according to projections. This will give the film a quick start to becoming profitable and potentially recouping its budget with domestic box office alone in a short period of time. When the international box office is taken into account, Black Panther 2’s chances of success skyrocket.

To demonstrate that Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is likely to be a box office success, MCU Phase 4 indicates that it should easily break even. Black Widow is the only Phase 4 film that did not gross at least $400 million worldwide, and its box office was hampered by the simultaneous release of Disney+. The box office for Black Panther 2 is expected to be similar to that of Thor: Love and Thunder ($760M) and Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness ($955M), which will easily make the final MCU Phase 4 film a success for Marvel Studios and Disney.

Will Black Panther 2 outperform the first film in terms of box office?

The biggest unknown about Black Panther 2’s box office is whether it will outperform the original film. The 2018 film grossed $1.3 billion worldwide, with $700 million of that coming from domestic sales, making it one of the highest-grossing films of all time. It is not expected that Black Panther 2 will outperform the original in terms of domestic box office, but that could change if Ryan Coogler’s sequel is as powerful and action-packed as it appears. The first Black Panther made over $100 million in China, but it has not been confirmed that the sequel will be released there. This reduces Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’s chances of outperforming the first film’s box office. However, no one expected the original film to perform as well as it did. Because Namor’s involvement may appeal to another underrepresented demographic of audiences, the sequel may outperform Black Panther.

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