Near-term ECB policy outlook has been the driver of EUR volatility this week. A diverging monetary plicy between Fed and ECB is set to boost the Euro, according to economists at MUFG Bank.
ECB policy rate to reach 3.00% by the end of this quarter
“We are sticking with our forecast for the policy rate to reach 3.00% by the end of this quarter. A scenario that is not fully priced into the eurozone rate market which is currently expecting a total of 93 bps of hikes to be delivered at the February and March policy meetings.”
“We expect ECB and Fed policies to diverge at the start of this year with the Fed set to slow the pace of hikes to 25 bps in February in response to further evidence of softening US inflation. It continues to favour a stronger Euro alongside the improving cyclical outlook for the Eurozone that is currently being priced into markets as recession risks are pared back.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
